@Article{PereiraKSAABBCHHJKKLNNPSTVVW:2021:AdToDi,
               author = "Pereira, Laura and Kuiper, Jan J. and Selomane, Odirilwe and 
                         Aguiar, Ana Paula Dutra de and Asrar, Ghassen R. and Bennett, 
                         Elena M. and Biggs, Reinette and Calvin, Katherine and Hedden, 
                         Steve and Hsu, Angel and Jabbour, Jason and King, Nicholas and 
                         K{\"o}berle, Alexandre C. and Lucas, Paul and Nel, Jeanne and 
                         Norstr{\"o}m, Albert V. and Peterson, Garry and Sitas, Nadia and 
                         Trisos, Christopher and van Vuuren, Detlef P. and Vervoort, Joost 
                         and Ward, James",
          affiliation = "{Utrecht University} and {Stockholm University} and {Stellenbosch 
                         University} and {Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)} 
                         and {Universities Space Research Association} and {McGill 
                         University} and {Stellenbosch University} and {University of 
                         Maryland} and {University of Colorado} and {Yale-NUS College} and 
                         {United Nations Environment Programme} and {North-West University} 
                         and {Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro (UFRJ)} and {PBL 
                         Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency} and {Wageningen 
                         University} and {Stockholm University} and {Stockholm University} 
                         and {Stellenbosch University} and {University of Maryland} and 
                         {Utrecht University} and {Utrecht University} and {University of 
                         South Australia}",
                title = "Advancing a toolkit of diverse futures approaches for global 
                         environmental assessments",
              journal = "Ecosystems and People",
                 year = "2021",
               volume = "17",
               number = "1",
                pages = "191--204",
                 note = "{Pr{\^e}mio CAPES Elsevier 2023 - ODS 8: Trabalho decente e 
                         crescimento econ{\^o}mico}",
             keywords = "Global environmental assessments, scenarios, models, futures, 
                         SDGs, SDG17 partnerships to achieve the Goal < UN sustainable 
                         development goals.",
             abstract = "Global Environmental Assessments (GEAs) are in a unique position 
                         to influence environmental decision-making in the context of 
                         sustainability challenges. To do this effectively, however, new 
                         methods are needed to respond to the needs of decision-makers for 
                         a more integrated, contextualized and goal-seeking evaluation of 
                         different policies, geared for action from global to local. While 
                         scenarios are an important tool for GEAs to link short-term 
                         decisions and medium and long-term consequences, these current 
                         information needs cannot be met only through deductive approaches 
                         focused on the global level. In this paper, we argue that a more 
                         diverse set of futures tools operating at multiple scales are 
                         needed to improve GEA scenario development and analysis to meet 
                         the information needs of policymakers and other stakeholders 
                         better. Based on the literature, we highlight four challenges that 
                         GEAs need to be able to address in order to contribute to global 
                         environmental decision-making about the future: 1. anticipate 
                         unpredictable future conditions; 2. be relevant at multiple 
                         scales, 3. include diverse actors, perspectives and contexts; and 
                         4. leverage the imagination to inspire action. We present a 
                         toolbox of future-oriented approaches and methods that can be used 
                         to effectively address the four challenges currently faced by 
                         GEAs.",
                  doi = "10.1080/26395916.2021.1901783",
                  url = "http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/26395916.2021.1901783",
                 issn = "2639-5908",
             language = "en",
           targetfile = "pereira_advancing.pdf",
        urlaccessdate = "20 maio 2024"
}